About this Report:
Power grids have finite capacity. As renewables thrive and consumers electrify away from fossil gas, pressure on the grid is mounting. Lack of grid capacity is already a key barrier to deploying new renewables and connecting new consumers, and capacity is likely to continue to lag behind what is needed for several years to come.
This is exacerbated by inefficient grid connection procedures that are unable to keep up with the surge in requests. The resulting long connection queues and delayed projects risk holding back Europe’s accelerating energy transition.
Ember authors: Elisabeth Cremona, Chris Rosslowe
Grid hosting capacity maps
One solution in the portfolio is the publication of grid hosting capacity maps by grid operators. These maps provide information about the available space on the power grid for new capacity at a certain location, according to the current and expected future status of the grid.
While some users, such as existing industries or households, have no or limited options to choose the location of their grid connection; others do, such as project promoters looking to develop new renewables, electrolyzers, data centers or large electric vehicle chargers. Having visibility on available capacity at various locations would enable these users to factor it into their decisions and make smarter applications. This could bring multiple benefits:
- Certain grid users can select the location of their installations according to capacity availability, reducing the time spent in grid connection queues, potentially speeding up investment decisions and thus the deployment of critical clean technologies.
- It could alleviate the number of grid connection requests submitted to the TSO/DSO, as project promoters would not need to desperately ‘fish’ for locations, submitting multiple grid connection requests for various locations (as is common practice, currently).
- It would enable users to make the best use of the existing network, both through identifying where new capacity can be connected and where flexibility solutions such as storage and demand-side flexibility are in high demand.
These hosting capacity maps are not entirely new. Utilities in 24 US states have provided grid capacity maps for years, and third-party service providers also offer this information. Some European system operators have been following suit (see Table 1 below for some examples), and this has now become mandatory for both TSOs and DSOs under the recently revised EU electricity market legislation.
The Electricity Market Regulation (articles 50 and 57) and the Electricity Market Directive (article 31) require TSOs and DSOs to:
- Publish information on the capacity available for new connections in their areas of operation with high spatial granularity, including the capacity under connection request and the possibility of flexible connection in congested areas.
- Update this information on a regular basis, which is at least every month for TSOs and at least every quarter for DSOs.
- Publish the criteria used to determine the available grid capacities.
Related to these new requirements, the Grid Action Plan assigns two tasks to ENTSO-E and the EU DSO Entity under Action 6. Firstly, to agree on harmonised definitions for available grid hosting capacity for system operators. Such consistency would facilitate the search for available capacity by grid users. Secondly, to establish a pan-EU overview of available grid hosting capacities by mid-2025 to give visibility to project developers when conceptualizing their projects. The pan-European overview should consider the capacity mappings already developed by TSOs and DSOs as some of them already are ahead of the curve.
What would be an “ideal” map?
While EU legislation sets out a number of criteria for providing information on grid hosting capacity, specifics are lacking. Additionally, existing maps show great variety in terms of the information categories provided for grid users (generation only, renewables only, or both generation and load), the voltage level, granularity and the scope of information they present. This makes it difficult for the grid operators who have yet to develop these maps, and risks that not all the information necessary for users will be made available.
This is where our research seeks to contribute, providing recommendations on the necessary components of an “ideal” grid hosting capacity map.
These recommendations bring together the needs of grid users, gathered through structured interviews with a variety of project promoters from both the supply and demand sides, with best practices from existing hosting capacity maps and interviews with grid operators. These are presented in a map graphic, split into one that represents the minimum level of detail necessary and another that includes more advanced features. These are also listed in Table 2 below.
Additionally, we recommend that ENTSO-E and the EU DSO Entity, alongside their mandate to harmonise definitions for capacity maps, provide support for the development of these maps through consideration of common technologies or hosting platforms. Grid companies should be allowed to develop common maps if it would minimise the complexity and costs for each grid operator to separately set up these capacity maps.
The ideal hosting capacity map should:
- Have a substation-level granularity.
- Be based on transparent assumptions concerning planned grid development (including through grid enhancing technologies), assumed growth in electricity demand and renewable generation. Information on planned grid upgrades is a key gap in most existing maps.
- Publish the existing, allocated and queuing resources per type (while remaining mindful of data confidentiality for investors) to enable and encourage matchmaking of complementary sources, such as battery storage in locations with large solar capacities.
- Be accompanied by an open-source database, enabling applicants to overlay this on other important geospatial data such as land availability, transport infrastructure, resource potentials, and others. In this way, hosting capacity maps can also be integrated with other existing energy geospatial data such as the registers of distributed generation, network elements and flexibility tenders (similar to the Open Data Portal of UK DSOs).
- Cover the whole territory of the system operator.
- Integrate the various levels of grid governance – distribution grid capacity data should be factored into transmission availability, and transmission grid capacity forecasts should take into account distribution level developments.
- Optimize the benefit of the marginal unit of information (for grid users) and the cost of generating that information (by system operators), and balance between the scope of information and its robustness.
Conclusion
Data availability and transparency on power grids are no longer a ‘nice-to-have’ but a ‘must’ to manage the energy transition efficiently. Grid users require a detailed and accurate picture of the grid and its planned evolution, to identify the best opportunities to connect and build solid business cases while enabling the maximisation of the existing network. Transparency is a no-regret tool.
Table 1
Examples of hosting capacity maps in Europe
DSO or TSO
Name of DSO/TSO
Information categories for grid users
(note: terminology from the individual maps is maintained)
Table 2
The components of an “ideal” capacity map
Design element
Minimum Requirement
Advanced Features
Notes
Granularity
Substation level
Same as minimum requirement
Coverage
Entire territory of the grid operator
Same as minimum requirement, with option for joint development to reduce fragmentation and development cost
Integration between
The various levels of grid governance to factor in capacity limitations/projections from the other level
Same as minimum requirement
Frequency of update
Quarterly for DSOs
Monthly for TSOs
Monthly for DSOs
Monthly for TSOs
Frequency of update to match lead time of project idea development and the pace of new permit issuance.
Data access
Open-source data
Open-source data and API
Open-source data publication is a must but the use of APIs have added-value for seamless data integration.
Information content: MW capacity available
Per type of resource (generation, load, and storage)
Per type of resource and type of generation (wind, PV, other)
Per level of curtailment (0 and 5%)
Higher curtailment levels as well
Per target year (5-year step)
Longer time horizon (until 2034/35) and possibly yearly
Visualisation
With adjustable maximum distance from substation (km)
All substations with voltage level indicated
All substations, with the option to filter by voltage level
Grid users connect to substations. The required capacity defines the typical voltage level to which it needs to connect.
Underlying assumptions/data
Planned grid investment per substation in terms of additional capacity for the years showing available capacity
Planned investments and upgrades, and the resulting yearly capacity additions
Future grid users are mainly interested in the additional capacity after new grid investment but smaller upgrades and more granular forecasts can facilitate smaller capacity requests and better planning. All planned investment on the map must be consistent with the actual network development plan.
Contracted, allocated and queuing capacities per substation
Same as minimum requirement, with each capacity category indicating resource type for matchmaking
A connection capacity can be best utilised if the aggregate profile of the various resources connected complement each other. Hence matching applications at the same location has an efficiency benefit to the whole system. It can even be incentivised.